Poker Blogs by Poker Pros
  • February 28th, 2008

    Sport Betting Basics

    At the heart of it, a sports wager is as simple as any gambling proposition can be: I think one team can beat the other team.  If you happen to know someone who likes the other team to win, great; you’ve got a bet.  If not, you need someone to “book” your action.  And that’s where a sports book comes in, be it online, at a casino (only in Las Vegas within the United States) or the guy sitting in the corner of your local tavern or pool hall.  To keep the action flowing, sports books have come up with a huge variety of betting options.

    In every betting situation, the sports book attaches an extra price, where they make their profit for providing you with a service.  In normal commerce, this may be called a “processing fee”.  In betting, it’s called vigorish, “the vig”, “juice” or lots of other terms.  As long as the book can balance the action on both sides of the bet, the vig guarantees they will make money.  How the vig is applied depends on the type of bet you make.

    Types of bets
    Point Spread
    Money Line
    Totals
    Parlay
    Teaser
    If-bet
    Prop Bets
    Futures Bets

    Note that when you win a bet, you get the amount of your wager back in addition to what you won.  If you wager $110 to win $100, and win the bet, the sports book will hand you $210.  This may seem fairly obvious, but has caused confusion with sports betting novices before, so it will be mentioned now, and then assumed throughout the rest of this guide.

    After following all of the above links, you’ll know the basics of sports betting.  I haven’t said anything about how to make smart wagers and make money betting on sports…that’s up to you, and the armies of guys with 900-numbers who offer this week’s 5-Star Lock Of The Year ABSOLUTELY FREE!!  But if you do it right and find what strategies work for you, sports betting can add excitement to watching a game, provide a tremendous “beat the house” challenge, and put a little extra cash in your pocket, all at the same time.

    Grapsfan

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    LABEL : Gambling Strategy, Sports Betting

  • February 26th, 2008

    Point Spreads

    The simplest bet is an offer between two teams, which can take one of two forms. The first, and most commonly known, is called a point-spread bet. One team is considered, the favorite, the other the underdog. As an example from the 2007 NFL season, the New England Patriots are 16-point favorites over the Washington Redskins. If you bet on New England and they win the game by more than 16 points, you win your wager. If Washington wins the game, or loses by less than 16 points, you lose your wager. If New England wins by exactly 16 points, you tie on your wager (also called a “push”) and you simply get your money back.

    In a point-spread bet, the vig is applied upfront, usually at a 10% rate. You bet $110 to win $100. The point spread is set by the book to provide equal betting on both sides, thereby maximizing the book’s profit. If there is too much action on one team, the book can do one of two things. Most of the time, they will change the point spread, called “moving the line”, to make the other team more attractive of a bet. Or, some books will change the balance on the vig to encourage action. I have seen instances where the vig was changed from -10% to -30% on one team, and from -10% to +10% on the other, to balance out an extreme swing.

    Grapsfan

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    LABEL : Gambling Strategy, Sports Betting

  • February 25th, 2008

    Parlays

    A parlay is the simplest and most popular of what are called the “exotic” bets.  In a parlay, you are placing one wager to win two or more individual bets (either point spread or total bets can work in a parlay).  If I make a two-team parlay, taking New England to cover the spread and go over 47˝ points, and New England wins 45-17, then I win my parlay wager.  If either bet misses, then I lose my wager.  Sports books will allow a large number of bets to be parlayed together (at most places, up-to-12).

    In a parlay bet, the book applies the vig by paying out less than the true odds of successfully completing the wager.  As an example, the odds of successfully picking the winner of two wagers is 3:1 against (you can go W-W, W-L, L-W or L-L).  A typical parlay bet pays out 2.6:1…you wager $100 to win $260.  This provides a 13.3% vig to the house.  The more wagers are added in a parlay, the bigger of a sucker bet the parlay becomes.  As an example, here are three different sets of parlay odds.  Book #1 is an online book notorious for offering “bad” odds, Book #2 is known for “good” odds, and a third from a set of “special value” odds:

    Book #1 (Bad) Book #2 (Good) Book “Special”
    Parlay Size Actual Odds Offered Odds Vig % Offered Odds Vig % Offered Odds Vig %
    2-Bet 3:1 2.6:1 13.3% 2.6:1 13.3% 2.8:1 6.7%
    3-Bet 7:1 6:1 14.3% 6:1 14.3% 6.4:1 8.6%
    4-Bet 15:1 12:1 20% 12:1 20% 13.5:1 10%
    5-Bet 31:1 25:1 19.3% 25:1 19.3% 27:1 12.9%
    6-Bet 63:1 35:1 44.4% 40:1 36.5% 54:1 14.3%
    7-Bet 127:1 75:1 40.9% 75:1 40.9% 107:1 15.7%
    8-Bet 255:1 100:1 60.8% 150:1 41.2% 210:1 17.6%
    9-Bet 511:1 150:1 70.6% 300:1 41.3% 411:1 19.6%
    10-Bet 1023:1 300:1 70.6% 700:1 31.6% 804:1 21.4%
    11-Bet 2047:1 450:1 78.0% 1100:1 46.3% 1570:1 23.3%
    12-Bet 4195:1 600:1 85.7% 1800:1 57.1% 3066:1 26.9%

    Note that with a couple of exceptions in the “special” column, no parlay offers you less than the 10% vig you are paying on a standard wager.

    Grapsfan

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    LABEL : Gambling Strategy, Sports Betting

  • February 25th, 2008

    Money Lines

    The other way a bet between two opposing sides can be made is called a money line. The money line is usually offered between individual opponents (two fighters in a boxing match, for example), but is also provided in low-scoring sports like baseball, soccer or hockey, or in games where the point spread is fairly close. If the point spread on an NFL game is “Chicago -4 ˝ over Detroit”, the money line might be offered as “Chicago -240 Detroit +200”. This means that a bettor would have to wager $240 on Chicago to win $100 back, whereas a $100 wager on Detroit would return $200. Point spreads are not involved in this kind of bet; it’s solely a matter of who wins the contest.

    In a money line bet, the vig is applied as the gap between the two offerings. In this case, Detroit pays out as a 2:1 underdog…but Chicago is set as a 2.4:1 favorite. The 10% on either side of the middle (in reality, the book is saying that Chicago is a 2.2:1 favorite) produces the same vig as a point spread bet does.

    Grapsfan

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    LABEL : Gambling Strategy, Sports Betting

  • February 23rd, 2008

    Totals

    A favorite of many gamblers is a total bet, also known as an over/under. A sports book places a line as to the total number of points to be scored between the two teams, and you wager whether or not the point sum will be over or under the line. It does not matter which team wins the game. In the aforementioned New England v. Washington game, if I wager over the total line of 47˝, and New England wins the game 31-17, then I win (31 + 17 = 48). If the game ends in a 20-20 tie, I lose my wager.

    Many sports bettors like totals because the larger point value lessens the variance of one individual play within a game. Most football lines are +/- 6 points, so a fluke like a punt or fumble return for a touchdown can have a huge impact. Same with basketball, where most lines are +/- 10 points, and the final spread can greatly depend on the performance of a single hot-or-cold player. Such impact is lessened significantly when the two scores are combined together into one total line.

    The vig on a total bet is applied the same way as the point spread: an upfront fee of (usually) 10%.

    Grapsfan

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    LABEL : Gambling Strategy, Sports Betting

  • February 20th, 2008

    Teaser

    A teaser is a special form of a parlay, where you are making one bet on multiple outcomes.  In this case, the house “teases” you with the option of adding points to your spreads in exchange for lower parlay odds.  Most books will allow you to tease a football game 6, 6˝ or 7 points (basketball is usually 4, 4 ˝ or 5 points).  Instead of taking Detroit as a 4˝ point underdog against Chicago, you can tease them to get 10˝, 11 or 11˝ points.  At the “Good” sports book, you can the following teaser payout odds:

    Teaser Size 6 points 6.5 points 7 points
    2-Team 10:11 10:12 10:13
    3-Team 1.8:1 1.6:1 1.4:1
    4-Team 3:1 2.5:1 2:1
    5-Team 4.5:1 4:1 3.5:1
    6-Team 6:1 5.5:1 5:1
    7-Team 10:1 9:1 8:1
    8-Team 15:1 12:1 10:1
    9-Team 20:1 15:1 12:1
    10-Team 25:1 10:1 15:1
    11-Team 35:1 25:1 20:1
    12-Team 50:1 35:1 25:1
    13-Team 75:1 50:1 35:1
    14-Team 100:1 75:1 50:1
    15-Team 150:1 100:1 75:1

    Some sports books will also offer straight-up teasers, where they allow the player to add even more points, but drop the payouts to even money.  For example, a 2-team football teaser will usually allow the bettor to adjust each line in the wager by 7 points.  A 3-team football bet can usually be teased 10 or 10.5 points.  Straight teasers are usually limited to 5 or 6 wagers.

    As with parlays, the house takes a vig by offering lower odds than is mathematically the case.  It is not as easy to calculate a teaser vig as it is a parlay vig, but as with all exotic bets, the vig is almost always greater than the 10% offered in a straight line bet.

    Grapsfan

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    LABEL : Gambling Strategy, Sports Betting

  • February 19th, 2008

    If Bets

    An “if-bet” is a multi-bet wager where you do not have to win every bet to get some payout back.   The if-bet works like this:

    You place one bet down on multiple teams, in preferential order.  Let’s say you like the Patriots go over 47˝, and you like the Bears to cover.  You bet $110 to win $100 in your if-bet.  “If” (hence the phrase, the “if-bet”) the Patriots win 52-7, they’ve gone over the total, and you win the first wager.  You get your $100 win back, and the original $110 goes into your bet on the Bears.  You can do an if-bet with up-to-7 games.  If at any time, your chain of bets breaks, everything else is a loss.  The table below, showing four possible wagers from a week in the NFL, demonstrates some of the possible outcomes of your if-bet (each wager is for $110 to win $100):

    Patriots Bears Rams Giants TOTAL
    Scenario #1 WIN WIN WIN WIN
    Result +$100 +$100 +$100 +$100 +$400
    Scenario #2 WIN WIN WIN LOSE
    Result +$100 +$100 +$100 -$110 +$190
    Scenario #3 WIN WIN LOSE No Bet
    Result +$100 +$100 -$110 +$90
    Scenario #4 WIN LOSE No Bet No Bet
    Result +$100 -$110 -$10
    Scenario #5 LOSE No Bet No Bet No Bet
    Result -$110 -$110

    An if-bet is a reasonable way to play multiple games in a week and still have some semblance of safety in your gambling bankroll.  You can never lose more than your initial $100+10 (whereas if you put $100+10 on each of the four games, you could lose all four wagers and be down up to $440).  On the other hand, you are missing the opportunity to win on the wagers that are “No Bets” if the if-bet chain gets broken.  Look at Scenario #5…if you would have won your bets on the Bears, Rams and Giants, you’d be up $190.  But because the Patriots game was the first in your if-bet chain, you never had that opportunity.

    There are two types of if-bets: “if-win” and “if-action”.  In an “if-win” bet, you have to win the bet to continue the chain to the next bet.  In an “if-action” bet, the chain continues if your wager is a push, as well as a win.

    Grapsfan

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    LABEL : Gambling Strategy, Sports Betting

  • February 4th, 2008

    Futures Bets

    A future bet is a type of proposition bet not for one particular game, but usually for a series or a season’s worth of action. “Who will win the NBA championship?” or “Odds of making the AFC Championship Game” are typical futures bets. Each team in the league are given odds of the event happening.

    Professional sports bettors rarely make substantial futures bets because the money wagered is out-of-play until the future event occurs. If you put money down at the start of a NBA season for the Phoenix Suns to win the title, you may not know the outcome of your bet for 8 months.

    Similar to a “field” prop bet, the book takes their vig by shorting the total odds breakdown. Books also play on the heartstrings of teams with loyal fans by offering specifically bad odds on those teams. The best example are the legions of Cubs fans who flock from the Midwest to Las Vegas every winter, to take in the warmer weather and swing down past Mesa, Arizona for a few spring training games. Almost every one of them will make a heartfelt wager for the Cubs to win the World Series. To keep their action balanced and minimize the impact to their bottom line if the Cubs do win, the odds offered on the Cubs are usually worse than for any other baseball team. In reality, the book will have bigger problems than money if the Cubs do win the World Series…the “hell freezing over” and “plagues of locusts” will probably make everyone forget about the bottom dollar.

    Grapsfan

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    LABEL : Gambling Strategy, Sports Betting